This section displays the seasonal forecasts issued for the 17 zones of the SWIO region. These forecasts are produced using a statistical adaptation of the large scale GCM forecasts implemented by the SEAFORDS tool (developed by Meteo France Center for Indian Ocean - La Reunion). The reference data for each zone is made of an average of ERA5 gridpoints. The Large Scale forecasts are given by some Global Producing Centers (GPC): ECMWF and Meteo France. The forecasts are issued for the rainfall anomaly (upper table) and the T2m anomaly (lower table)
For each forecast an evaluation is conducted when the reference data is available.

These forecasts are relevant at regional scale, they are produced automatically without any expertise. Therefore these results shouldn't be considered as official releases but as technical documents aimed at climate specialists. For details over a specific country one should refer to the National Meteorological Service.

Regional seasonal forecasts of RR anomalies

Regional seasonal forecasts of T2M anomalies